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The opening game of the 2013 State of Origin series kicks off tomorrow night at Stadium Australia in Homebush, with the New South Wales Blues facing off against the Queensland Maroons.
The Maroons are riding an historic seven-year winning streak, with the Blues desperate to turn the tide against a rampaging and ruthless Queensland outfit that has no intention of easing up anytime soon.
Does NSW have enough creativity?
NSW have selected an impressive pack and a potent backline. I expect the Blues forwards to supply plenty of go-forward, while there are plenty of points in Jennings, Morris, Ferguson, Morris and Hayne.
That inevitably puts a lot of pressure on the Blues halves, because everything else is in place for NSW.
Mitchell Pearce and James Maloney are the keys for NSW. It’s that simple.
Pearce is a much-maligned selection at number 7. Going into his 10th Origin match, he’s yet to stamp his class at this level of football. His biggest issues have been in attack, where he has lacked dynamism and creativity with the ball, and his tactical kicking has also been poor.
James Maloney has been selected outside him at five-eight, and coach Laurie Daley revealed that part of his selection was because he has calming effect on Pearce.
Maloney is a cheeky little five-eight, and whilst he may lack Todd Carney’s creativity and x-factor, he nonetheless knows how to get his outside backs some quality ball, and considering the talent in the backline, that’s all he – and Pearce – should concentrate on doing.
It’s worth noting that Robbie Farah’s attacking skills from dummy-half will also be heavily utilised, and that Josh Reynolds will be sitting on the bench, itching to get into the action.
All the Blues playmakers just need to keep it simple: kick to open space, take the right option on the fifth tackle, and utilise the speed and size of their backline.
They also shouldn’t be afraid to take on the line: creativity isn’t always ‘sleight of hand’ with the ball or flashy tricks; it can simply be a case of keeping the defense guessing on what option you’re going to take
Are the Maroons in-form?
During Queensland’s seven-year dominance, I believe last series was the worst I’ve seen the Maroons play. In many respects, the fact they still won may make it their most impressive victory; they really had to fight for it.
Looking at the squad the Maroon’s have picked – which contained no real surprises – Greg Inglis is the only player I can nominate as being in truly brilliant form.
That, combined with last year’s series, raises the question, are Queensland in-form?
The easy answer is that, no, they are not in the best form of their respective individual careers, and one might therefore deduce that the time is ripe for a NSW victory to be snatched.
However, the complex answer, and the more prudent one, is that it doesn’t matter.
Form is often irrelevant at Origin level. Time and time again we’ve seen players picked who were not setting the world on fire at club level, whom then produce scintillating efforts for their state team.
I’m therefore inclined to take very little notice of Origin performances from 12 months ago, nor the club form of the selected Queensland players. Once they pull on that maroon jersey, they’ll be ready to rumble.
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